The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is considering regulatory changes aimed at slowing stock trading during periods of cascading prices, even though the agency hasn’t yet concluded what caused this week’s market plunge, two people familiar with the matter said.
SEC officials are weighing whether uniform trading curbs should be imposed across markets for companies that have fallen a certain percentage, said the people, who declined to be identified because the discussions are preliminary. The agency is examining whether any rules should include a time element because a steep decline that occurs in minutes may be more detrimental to markets than a decline over several hours, one of the people said.
U.S. regulators and exchanges are trying to determine what happened after stocks fell May 6, temporarily erasing more than $1 trillion in market value, in a rout fueled by waves of computerized trading. The SEC and Commodity Futures Trading Commission said in a joint statement yesterday that declines for individual stocks were “inconsistent” with well-functioning markets and pledged to make “structural” changes if necessary.
SEC spokesman John Nester declined to comment on internal agency discussions. Lawmakers are pressing the SEC for answers.
“Yesterday’s flash crash was incredibly startling,” Representative Paul Kanjorski said in a statement, announcing a May 11 hearing to examine the incident. “We cannot allow technological problems, regulatory loopholes, or human blunders to spook the markets and cause panic.”
Computer Glitch
Kanjorski, a Pennsylvania Democrat, also sent a letter to SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro seeking the agency’s views on the incident and asking what power it has to prevent future crashes.
While the SEC is in the early stages of reviewing market data, the agency hasn’t found evidence indicating that an erroneous trade or a computer glitch triggered the market rout, one of the people said.
CNBC citied “multiple sources” in reporting May 6 that New York-based Citigroup Inc. may have made a mistake in entering a transaction that contributed to the plunge. Citigroup said it found no evidence it was involved in an erroneous trade, a finding supported by futures market CME Group Inc.
SEC officials have internally circulated at least two memos outlining market mechanisms suspected of triggering or fueling the market decline, a person familiar with the discussions said.
Washington Briefing
One memo, circulated two days ago, outlines a scenario described publicly by stock-exchange officials, people who saw the document said. The theory advanced by the other memo couldn’t be determined.
SEC commissioners were scheduled to be briefed on the incident yesterday by the agency’s trading and markets division in Washington, the people said.
One SEC memo, according to people who saw it, discusses a theory raised yesterday by NYSE Euronext spokesman Ray Pellecchia, who said sudden price moves in multiple stocks reached so-called liquidity replenishment points. That prompted the exchange to slow trading in those shares as it tried to ensure an orderly market. Such incidences allow other exchanges to ignore NYSE price quotes.
Trades sent to electronic networks then fueled the drop, said Larry Leibowitz, chief operating officer of NYSE Euronext. While the first half of the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 998.5-point plunge probably reflected normal trading, the decline snowballed as orders went to venues lacking liquidity to match them, he said in an interview yesterday.
Uniform Practices
NYSE competitors such as Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. don’t use liquidity replenishment points. The SEC and CFTC in their joint statement raised concerns that the plunge may have been caused by exchanges not adhering to uniform practices.
“We are scrutinizing the extent to which disparate trading conventions and rules across markets may have contributed to the spike in volatility,” the regulators said. Ideas under discussion would make sure all trading platforms follow the same policies when prices fall precipitously.
A circuit breaker for individual stocks across all markets would avoid the problem of individual markets making their own decisions about trading, said Brett Mock, chairman of the Security Traders Association, a trade group of brokers and asset management companies based in Darien, Connecticut.
The SEC and CFTC said their market oversight units are continuing to review trading data and will make findings public. The SEC’s enforcement division, which investigates violations of securities rules, will also try to determine if market participants exploited the turmoil to profit illegally, two people with direct knowledge of the matter said.
Increased Competition
Increasing competition has eroded NYSE and Nasdaq’s trading volume. Less than 30 percent of transactions in NYSE and Nasdaq listed companies takes place on their networks with orders dispersed to as many as 50 venues. Most rival platforms are fully electronic.
Lawmakers including U.S. Senator Ted Kaufman, a Delaware Democrat, have urged the SEC since last year to increase regulation of markets that rely on computer algorithms to execute thousands of trades in seconds. Kaufman, who has raised concerns about potential manipulation or false trades triggering a crisis, urged the SEC this week to step up its oversight.
“No one knows what is happening in the exchanges when this trading is going on,” he said on the Senate floor May 6 after the market plunge. “All we have been requesting from the Securities and Exchange Commission is that they take a look at what is happening.”
Reading Material
101 Options Trading Secrets
Using a Put Selling Strategy
The Beauty of Selling Put Options
Put Option Selling: Ge Paid to Buy the Stocks You Want
Options Selling - 5 Simple Success Tips
Risk of 'Unlimited Losses' in Naked Option Selling is a Myth!
Here's a Different Way of Looking at Options
Using a Put Selling Strategy
The Beauty of Selling Put Options
Put Option Selling: Ge Paid to Buy the Stocks You Want
Options Selling - 5 Simple Success Tips
Risk of 'Unlimited Losses' in Naked Option Selling is a Myth!
Here's a Different Way of Looking at Options
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Final Commentary
The experiment was a great success overall. It is very obvious there is no way to beat the indices in a major bull market runup. The selling put strategy works best in a slightly bearish and neutral market. Day to day market movements are mostly dependent on daily economic news as seen throughout 2010.
Success purely depends on market timing and also on lady luck. If you started to sell puts at the market peak of August 2007, obviously you would have gotten burned badly. No technical analysis in the world would have saved your ass at that point. Cash was king in bear market of August 2007 - March 2009.
The best trading advice is being cautious at all times and carefully plan out your trades. Time and sector diversification and selling strikes that are far enough from current market levels will give you the best probability for success.
I hope you have learned a lot from this blog and hopefully you are now ready to start trading with real money. The biggest risk, is not taking risk. No risk, no glory!
Donald
Success purely depends on market timing and also on lady luck. If you started to sell puts at the market peak of August 2007, obviously you would have gotten burned badly. No technical analysis in the world would have saved your ass at that point. Cash was king in bear market of August 2007 - March 2009.
The best trading advice is being cautious at all times and carefully plan out your trades. Time and sector diversification and selling strikes that are far enough from current market levels will give you the best probability for success.
I hope you have learned a lot from this blog and hopefully you are now ready to start trading with real money. The biggest risk, is not taking risk. No risk, no glory!
Donald
Experiment Ground Rules
This is an experiment to evaluate how successful my selling cash covered put strategy over time. The target end date is January 22, 2011. Over the course of the year, market and trade recaps will be posted frequently. This paper trade is solely for educational purposes. To keep things simple, here are some ground rules before we start:
1. We start with an imaginary $100,000 USD cash portfolio as of February 15, 2010.
2. We only sell cash covered puts on large capitalization companies and ETF Indices with expirations at most one year out.
3. The minimum premium received should be at least $1.00 USD per option after commission. We strive to sell near the 52-week low level strike level most of the time if possible. Due to the major runup in the markets since March 9, 2009 lows, this will be extremely hard to find a trade with decent credit within the one year time allowance. The alternate strategy is to find stocks that bounces strongly off a certain support level or trend line and we will sell puts options near that particular strike.
4. Ideally we want all trades to expire worthless. If the option is in the money at expiration, we will take delivery of the stock. While respecting the NET $1.00 premium after commission, we will write a call option (covered call strategy) at the same strike that we sold the put at. Ideally, we want to write the front month option if possible, otherwise we will write the first available month that will give us a minimum of $1.00 premium after commission.
5. We assume there will be no assignment during the life of the trade.
6. Commission used will be $9.95 (base) + $1.25/contract and the assignment fee will be $39 (base) + 8 cents/share.
7. To keep the portfolio diversified, we will trade at most three options within the same sector, but we will trade the same underlier with different expirations.
8. Ideally trades take place on a down day or whenever a stock declined in value.
9. To initiate a position, we will use the closing bid option premium on that day.
10. Interest earned on the cash will not be calculated.
1. We start with an imaginary $100,000 USD cash portfolio as of February 15, 2010.
2. We only sell cash covered puts on large capitalization companies and ETF Indices with expirations at most one year out.
3. The minimum premium received should be at least $1.00 USD per option after commission. We strive to sell near the 52-week low level strike level most of the time if possible. Due to the major runup in the markets since March 9, 2009 lows, this will be extremely hard to find a trade with decent credit within the one year time allowance. The alternate strategy is to find stocks that bounces strongly off a certain support level or trend line and we will sell puts options near that particular strike.
4. Ideally we want all trades to expire worthless. If the option is in the money at expiration, we will take delivery of the stock. While respecting the NET $1.00 premium after commission, we will write a call option (covered call strategy) at the same strike that we sold the put at. Ideally, we want to write the front month option if possible, otherwise we will write the first available month that will give us a minimum of $1.00 premium after commission.
5. We assume there will be no assignment during the life of the trade.
6. Commission used will be $9.95 (base) + $1.25/contract and the assignment fee will be $39 (base) + 8 cents/share.
7. To keep the portfolio diversified, we will trade at most three options within the same sector, but we will trade the same underlier with different expirations.
8. Ideally trades take place on a down day or whenever a stock declined in value.
9. To initiate a position, we will use the closing bid option premium on that day.
10. Interest earned on the cash will not be calculated.
General Investing Guideline
1. You are the best person to manage your own money
2. Treat this as a hobby and have fun. If you treat investing as a chore, your success rate will be much lower on average
3. Patience (There’s no such thing as once in a lifetime investment!)
4. Do your Due Diligence
5. Keep abreast on economic news daily
6. Keep it simple – Focus on large capitalization companies that have high competitive advantage
7. Concentrate on cash flow as opposed to capital growth
8. Buy at value
9. Diversification
10. Risk Management (Risk only what you can afford. Setup stop loss limits. Once the stock hits your stop loss limit, closeout your losing position and move on to the next trade)
2. Treat this as a hobby and have fun. If you treat investing as a chore, your success rate will be much lower on average
3. Patience (There’s no such thing as once in a lifetime investment!)
4. Do your Due Diligence
5. Keep abreast on economic news daily
6. Keep it simple – Focus on large capitalization companies that have high competitive advantage
7. Concentrate on cash flow as opposed to capital growth
8. Buy at value
9. Diversification
10. Risk Management (Risk only what you can afford. Setup stop loss limits. Once the stock hits your stop loss limit, closeout your losing position and move on to the next trade)
Options Trading Guideline
1. Pick up any option book and start reading. There’s ton of information on the Internet and be sure you read difference sources. Make sure you understand the structure, the risk and the profit/loss of any option strategies
2. Always paper trade any strategies that you are unfamiliar with
3. Focus only on highly liquid options with excellent daily volume (DOW JONES listed companies for example)
4. Determine your outlook on a particular stock or index or futures well ahead of time - you can be bullish, bearish or even neutral (only options allow you to trade this particular stance)
5. Options are more a swing trade thing than a day trade (usually 1-6 months in duration) – Never force a trade, just for the sake of trading. Patience is key, you have to give it some time for a strategy to develop.
6. Never use options to speculate (some do, but I don’t)
7. Knowing some basic technical analysis will help you place more successful trades (especially knowing support and resistance levels)
8. On average approximately 80% of options bought expire worthless – it pays off to be a seller
9. Diversification
10. Risk Management
a. Setup stop loss limits, closeout the position immediately once it hits the prescribed threshold and move on to the next trade.
b. Never let a straight and simple long option position expire worthless. Always salvage some premium and move on to the next trade. Avoid 100% losses.
c. Risk only what you can afford and don’t overextend yourself. (10 contracts = 1000 shares or 1000 cash multiplier!). Know how much capital is at risk all the time.
d. Never borrow money to purchase options. Options are highly leveraged instruments and you can easily lose your shirt very quickly. Option premium prices change constantly and rapidly.
e. Always have enough cash at hand to cover an assignment (AMERICAN style options can be exercised anytime)
2. Always paper trade any strategies that you are unfamiliar with
3. Focus only on highly liquid options with excellent daily volume (DOW JONES listed companies for example)
4. Determine your outlook on a particular stock or index or futures well ahead of time - you can be bullish, bearish or even neutral (only options allow you to trade this particular stance)
5. Options are more a swing trade thing than a day trade (usually 1-6 months in duration) – Never force a trade, just for the sake of trading. Patience is key, you have to give it some time for a strategy to develop.
6. Never use options to speculate (some do, but I don’t)
7. Knowing some basic technical analysis will help you place more successful trades (especially knowing support and resistance levels)
8. On average approximately 80% of options bought expire worthless – it pays off to be a seller
9. Diversification
10. Risk Management
a. Setup stop loss limits, closeout the position immediately once it hits the prescribed threshold and move on to the next trade.
b. Never let a straight and simple long option position expire worthless. Always salvage some premium and move on to the next trade. Avoid 100% losses.
c. Risk only what you can afford and don’t overextend yourself. (10 contracts = 1000 shares or 1000 cash multiplier!). Know how much capital is at risk all the time.
d. Never borrow money to purchase options. Options are highly leveraged instruments and you can easily lose your shirt very quickly. Option premium prices change constantly and rapidly.
e. Always have enough cash at hand to cover an assignment (AMERICAN style options can be exercised anytime)
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